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Outsider Views: - by Mike Pouraryan

 
Welcome to Outsiderviews. We live in interesting times. The theme here is "Alitshoni lingenandabadaba" which in Xhosa means, " Each day brings its fresh baggage of news..." We will work to reflect upon this "baggage" and provide some perspective and insightit!!! Thanks for your visit and your interest. My Zimbio
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The VEEP Stakes, The Conventions & The Battles...

: Let the games begin!!!
The buzz over the VP picks continues unabatted. We're supposed to know by no later than Saturday. Senator Obama's choice will be broadcast via text message within the next day or so to his supporters. I have signed up for it to be one of the first to get the word. Senator McCain will annouce his choice on his 72nd Birthday--which is August 29. The pundits and the blogs have been abuzz with who is going to be named. The choice and what happens at the conventions will set the stage for the rest of the election.

As the U.S. awaits with anticipation, I found this analysis on the Evans-Novak Political Report quite striking..I received this in today's newsletter from them:

1. The Democratic National Convention and buzz over Sen. Barack Obama's running mate comes at the perfect time to halt Sen. John McCain's momentum.
2. The broad pessimism about GOP chances has, in recent weeks, found justifiable solace in Obama's inability to pull away. Recent Obama missteps on discussing his record (see below) together with his sub-par performance in the "Civic Forum" over the weekend (see below) have compounded Democrats' worry.
3. A Zogby poll showing McCain ahead by five points should not be taken to indicate he is the front-runner, but it certainly helps puncture the notion that Obama is way ahead.


The polls are close and the Saddleback Civil Forum reflected the mode of the country. I am not that keen on the Zogby poll, especially when he projected John Kerry the winner in 2004 after his exit polling. The conventions, the choice of the VP and the strategy going forward is going to determine the course of action. There is one thing that would also play a part: Money. The data I reviewed earlier in the week noted that both parties are even. Therefore, it is going to be a batte to the finish.




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